Sunday 27 July 2014

Gold H4

General Overview for 27/07/2014:

We can see a clear triangle pattern formed on Weekly time frame and there as some indications, that this pattern has been completed and impulsive bearish wave progression has started. This assumption is valid only if the corrective wave (ii) green ( H4 and H1 time frame) will not violate the level of 1346. The suggested simple corrective cycle in wave (ii) green is either Running Flat of Irregular Flat formations.
 Currently the market has broken above the golden intraday trendline and it is trying to complete the last wave  to the upside of the mentioned corrective cycle - wave C black. The targets for this wave are on the chart, for both corrections respectively.
Please notice that this is only a simple corrective cycle count and it can get more complex and time consuming.

Support/Resistance:
1346 -  Green Impulsive Cycle Invalidation Line
1296 - Blue Impulsive Count Invalidation Line

Trading Recommendations:

Short orders can be placed from the orange rectangle target areas with SL above the level of 1346. The potential TP is way beyond the 1287 low - projected target for wave 5 black is at the level of 1150 and with this R/R=10:1 it is a good trade to enter for SWING TRADERS.



Friday 25 July 2014

GBP/JPY H4

On intraday  H4 chart: BIAS IS BEARISH.
Traders can see that after wave 4 black low the market has made a nice five wave impulsive structure to the upside that has been labeled as wave 5 black of wave 5 purple of the overall wave C blue. This is another confirmation of a possible long term top at the level of 175.38. Current situation on H4 time frame suggest more downside prices to come as long as the invalidation line at the level of 174.51 in not broken. Moreover, any sustained break below Supply Breakthrough Zone (172.20 - 172.47) supports the bearish bias, especially if made in impulsive fashion ( five wave decline).